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Re: [Fot] To Consider Before you Race

To: fot@autox.team.net
Subject: Re: [Fot] To Consider Before you Race
From: Bill Dentinger via Fot <fot@autox.team.net>
Date: Fri, 22 May 2020 22:48:26 +0000 (UTC)
Delivered-to: mharc@autox.team.net
Delivered-to: fot@autox.team.net
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I think Mr Hasty knows you know what IMHO means. =C2=A0
I suspect he is questioning if in fact your opinion=C2=A0is humble.
Well! As Joe always said, "NO DUES. =C2=A0NO RULES"
I guess that's why the FOT works.
Bill Dentinger


Sent from AOL Mobile Mail
Get the new AOL app: mail.mobile.aol.com
 On=C2=A0Friday, May 22, 2020,=C2=A0J Wagner via Fot=C2=A0<fot@autox.team.n=
et>=C2=A0wrote:

In my humble opinion
On May 22, 2020, at 1:23 PM, John H. Hasty <jhasty@mhc-law.com> wrote:



IMHO?

Sent from my iPhone

On May 22, 2020, at 4:22 PM, J Wagner via Fot <fot@autox.team.net> wrote:



=EF=BB=BFI=E2=80=99m sorry Ken, IMHO, you=E2=80=99re way off base.

=E2=80=9C....Covid is killing people in all age groups, no one should consi=
der themselves =E2=80=98low risk=E2=80=99.=C2=A0 This virus is like playing=
 Russian Roulette with an automatic....=E2=80=9D

That describes the Covid-19 that the early models were describing, but thos=
e models were wrong and have been discredited.=C2=A0
Yes, in fact, some people can consider themselves =E2=80=9Clow risk=E2=80=
=9D and no, it=E2=80=99s not like playing Russian Roulette at all. =C2=A0An=
d it=E2=80=99s certainly not like playing it with an automatic.
If one is elderly, particularly those with underlying issues, sure, they sh=
ould play it safe. =C2=A0And anyone with an underlying issue should weigh t=
he risks and watch out for themselves. =C2=A0The rest need to get on with t=
heir lives. =C2=A0
The flu didn=E2=80=99t stop vintage racing.
=E2=80=9CIf people die at the current rate of 5.9% then....=E2=80=9D =C2=A0=
=C2=A0

That =E2=80=9Ccurrent rate=E2=80=9D is not sustainable so your supposition =
is not based in reality. =C2=A0The curve doesn=E2=80=99t just happen in a d=
ay when we cross a threshold, it happens slowly as we reach herd immunity. =
=C2=A0

And weather is proving to be significant as the southern hemisphere faces t=
heir fall and numbers are rising there. =C2=A0We=E2=80=99re heading into ou=
r Summer!


<image1.png>
Let=E2=80=99s all take a reality pill here. =C2=A0
<image1.png>



You said,=C2=A0=E2=80=9CWe are all big boys and girls and we get to make ou=
r own decisions.=C2=A0I think this decision should be made on sound medical=
 science and fact, not what we would like to have happen. =E2=80=9C

Yes. =C2=A0So enough with the =E2=80=9Crussian roulette with an automatic=
=E2=80=9D analogies. =C2=A0 That=E2=80=99s gross hyperbole, not science.

It=E2=80=99s a bad bug, but we go on with life, just as we always have with=
 the various threats that face us every day.

What=E2=80=99s the stats for race car drivers getting hurt or killed? =C2=
=A0 What=E2=80=99s the stats of sports fans being hit by lightening? =C2=A0=
What=E2=80=99s the stats on dying from pneumonia? =C2=A0Car accidents? =C2=
=A0Going to an ATM late at night?

Yet we all get on with our lives.

=E2=80=94Justin












On May 22, 2020, at 10:26 AM, Kenneth Knight via Fot <fot@autox.team.net> w=
rote:




#yiv4035461173 #yiv4035461173 -- _filtered {}#yiv4035461173 #yiv4035461173 =
p.yiv4035461173MsoNormal, #yiv4035461173 li.yiv4035461173MsoNormal, #yiv403=
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173 div.yiv4035461173WordSection1 {}#yiv4035461173=20
The CDC just announced today that 35% of Covid cases are asymptomatic.=C2=
=A0 It appears you can spread Covid 19 and not know you are sick.=C2=A0 Wha=
t if you are one of those folks that then go home an give it to your family=
?
=20
 =C2=A0
=20
As of today there 1.61 million cases in the US with deaths at 95,213 or a d=
eath rate 5.9%.=C2=A0 Over this weekend we will pass 100,000 dead.
=20
 =C2=A0
=20
Covid is killing people in all age groups, no one should consider themselve=
s =E2=80=98low risk=E2=80=99.=C2=A0 This virus is like playing Russian Roul=
ette with an automatic.
=20
 =C2=A0
=20
It is clear that the US national strategy is to open up and either get a va=
ccine in 18-24 months or achieve =E2=80=9CHerd Immunity=E2=80=9D which requ=
ires some 60-70% of the population to have lived through being sick in orde=
r to develop antibodies against the virus.
=20
 =C2=A0
=20
The numbers needed to get to Herd Immunity roughly require 200,000,000 Amer=
icans to have had the virus.
=20
 =C2=A0
=20
If people die at the current rate of 5.9% then some =C2=B111,000,000 people=
 would perish in getting to Herd Immunity.=C2=A0 Even if better treatments =
and the demise of very high risk people cut the death rate to just 1%, we w=
ould see some 2,000,000 people die of Covid.
=20
 =C2=A0
=20
Someone once said that if wishing were so, pigs could fly.=C2=A0 You can cr=
oss your fingers this going to get better in June in the Midwest but all th=
e indications are quite the opposite.=C2=A0 We opened the country in mid Ma=
y to varying degrees (not right or wrong, just fact) and infection rate num=
bers and death rates are likely to significantly rise in June.=C2=A0 It tak=
es a couple of weeks before people start showing up sick at their locale ho=
spitals.
=20
 =C2=A0
=20
We are all big boys and girls and we get to make our own decisions.=C2=A0 I=
 think this decision should be made on sound medical science and fact, not =
what we would like to have happen. =C2=A0=C2=A0I have a couple of good doct=
or friends, until they are willing to go back racing after what they are se=
eing in their hospitals, I will not return to the track as much as I want t=
o.=C2=A0 I wish all the very best of luck.
=20
 =C2=A0
=20
Ken
=20
_______________________________________________
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http://www.fot-racing.com

Archive: http://autox.team.net/archivehttp://www.team.net/pipermail/fot
l.com



_______________________________________________
fot@autox.team.net

http://www.fot-racing.com

Archive: http://autox.team.net/archive http://www.team.net/pipermail/fot
w.com


_______________________________________________
fot@autox.team.net

http://www.fot-racing.com

Archive: http://autox.team.net/archive http://www.team.net/pipermail/fot
l.com




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Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable

I think Mr Hasty knows you know what IMHO means. &nbsp;<div><br></div><div>=
I suspect he is questioning if in fact your opinion&nbsp;is humble.</div><d=
iv><br></div><div>Well! As Joe always said, "NO DUES. &nbsp;NO RULES"</div>=
<div><br></div><div>I guess that's why the FOT works.</div><div><br></div><=
div>Bill Dentinger<br><br><br><div id=3D"__aol_mail_signature__"><div style=
=3D"font-family:HelveticaNeue-Light;color:#949494;font-size:11px;">Sent fro=
m AOL Mobile Mail<br>Get the new AOL app: <a style=3D"font-family:Helvetica=
Neue-Light;font-size:11px;" href=3D"http://mail.mobile.aol.com"; target=3D"_=
blank">mail.mobile.aol.com</a></div></div>

<br><div class=3D"aolmail_replyHeader">
    On&nbsp;Friday, May 22, 2020,&nbsp;J Wagner via Fot&nbsp;&lt;fot@autox.=
team.net&gt;&nbsp;wrote:
</div><br>
<blockquote style=3D"margin:0 0 0 9px;padding:0 0 0 9px;"><div id=3D"yiv403=
5461173"><div><div dir=3D"ltr"></div><div dir=3D"ltr">In my humble opinion<=
/div><div class=3D"yiv4035461173yqt6796745333" id=3D"yiv4035461173yqt91956"=
><div dir=3D"ltr"><br clear=3D"none">On May 22, 2020, at 1:23 PM, John H. H=
asty &lt;<a rel=3D"nofollow" shape=3D"rect" ymailto=3D"mailto:jhasty@mhc-la=
w.com" target=3D"_blank" href=3D"mailto:jhasty@mhc-law.com";>jhasty@mhc-law.=
com</a>&gt; wrote:<br clear=3D"none"><br clear=3D"none"></div><blockquote t=
ype=3D"cite"><div dir=3D"ltr">

</div></blockquote></div></div><div class=3D"yiv4035461173yqt6796745333" id=
=3D"yiv4035461173yqt47551"><div>


IMHO?<br clear=3D"none">
<br clear=3D"none">
<div dir=3D"ltr">Sent from my iPhone</div>
<div dir=3D"ltr"><br clear=3D"none">
<blockquote type=3D"cite">On May 22, 2020, at 4:22 PM, J Wagner via Fot &lt=
;<a rel=3D"nofollow" shape=3D"rect" ymailto=3D"mailto:fot@autox.team.net"; t=
arget=3D"_blank" href=3D"mailto:fot@autox.team.net";>fot@autox.team.net</a>&=
gt; wrote:<br clear=3D"none">
<br clear=3D"none">
</blockquote>
</div>
<blockquote type=3D"cite">
<div dir=3D"ltr">=EF=BB=BF
<div dir=3D"ltr"><span></span></div>
<div dir=3D"ltr">
<div dir=3D"ltr"></div>
<div dir=3D"ltr">I=E2=80=99m sorry Ken, IMHO, you=E2=80=99re way off base.<=
/div>
<div dir=3D"ltr"><br clear=3D"none">
</div>
<div dir=3D"ltr">
<p class=3D"yiv4035461173p1"><span class=3D"yiv4035461173s1" style=3D"backg=
round-color:rgba(255, 255, 255, 0);">=E2=80=9C....Covid is killing people i=
n all age groups, no one should consider themselves =E2=80=98low risk=E2=80=
=99.&nbsp; This virus is like playing Russian Roulette with an automatic...=
.=E2=80=9D</span></p>
</div>
<div dir=3D"ltr"><br clear=3D"none">
</div>
<div dir=3D"ltr">That describes the Covid-19 that the early models were des=
cribing, but those models were wrong and have been discredited.&nbsp;</div>
<div dir=3D"ltr"><br clear=3D"none">
</div>
<div dir=3D"ltr">Yes, in fact, some people can consider themselves =E2=80=
=9Clow risk=E2=80=9D and no, it=E2=80=99s not like playing Russian Roulette=
 at all. &nbsp;And it=E2=80=99s certainly not like playing it with an autom=
atic.</div>
<div dir=3D"ltr"><br clear=3D"none">
</div>
<div dir=3D"ltr">If one is elderly, particularly those with underlying issu=
es, sure, they should play it safe. &nbsp;And anyone with an underlying iss=
ue should weigh the risks and watch out for themselves. &nbsp;The rest need=
 to get on with their lives. &nbsp;</div>
<div dir=3D"ltr"><br clear=3D"none">
</div>
<div dir=3D"ltr">The flu didn=E2=80=99t stop vintage racing.</div>
<div dir=3D"ltr">
<p class=3D"yiv4035461173p1"><span class=3D"yiv4035461173s1" style=3D"backg=
round-color:rgba(255, 255, 255, 0);">=E2=80=9CIf people die at the current =
rate of 5.9% then....=E2=80=9D &nbsp;&nbsp;</span></p>
<p class=3D"yiv4035461173p1">That =E2=80=9Ccurrent rate=E2=80=9D is not sus=
tainable so your supposition is not based in reality. &nbsp;The curve doesn=
=E2=80=99t just happen in a day when we cross a threshold, it happens slowl=
y as we reach herd immunity. &nbsp;</p>
<p class=3D"yiv4035461173p1">And weather is proving to be significant as th=
e southern hemisphere faces their fall and numbers are rising there. &nbsp;=
We=E2=80=99re heading into our Summer!</p>
</div>
<div dir=3D"ltr"><br clear=3D"none">
</div>
<div dir=3D"ltr"><br clear=3D"none">
</div>
<div dir=3D"ltr">
<div>&lt;image1.png&gt;</div>
</div>
<div dir=3D"ltr"><br clear=3D"none">
</div>
<div dir=3D"ltr"><span style=3D"background-color:rgba(255, 255, 255, 0);">L=
et=E2=80=99s all take a reality pill here. &nbsp;</span></div>
<div dir=3D"ltr"><br clear=3D"none">
</div>
<div dir=3D"ltr">
<div>&lt;image1.png&gt;</div>
</div>
<div dir=3D"ltr">
<p class=3D"yiv4035461173p1"><span class=3D"yiv4035461173s1" style=3D"backg=
round-color:rgba(255, 255, 255, 0);"><br clear=3D"none">
</span></p>
<p class=3D"yiv4035461173p1"><span class=3D"yiv4035461173s1" style=3D"backg=
round-color:rgba(255, 255, 255, 0);">You said,&nbsp;</span><span style=3D"b=
ackground-color:rgba(255, 255, 255, 0);">=E2=80=9CWe are all big boys and g=
irls and we get to make our own decisions.&nbsp;
</span><span style=3D"background-color:rgba(255, 255, 255, 0);">I think thi=
s decision should be made on sound medical science and fact, not what we wo=
uld like to have happen. =E2=80=9C</span></p>
<p class=3D"yiv4035461173p1">Yes. &nbsp;So enough with the =E2=80=9Crussian=
 roulette with an automatic=E2=80=9D analogies. &nbsp; That=E2=80=99s gross=
 hyperbole, not science.</p>
<p class=3D"yiv4035461173p1">It=E2=80=99s a bad bug, but we go on with life=
, just as we always have with the various threats that face us every day.</=
p>
<p class=3D"yiv4035461173p1">What=E2=80=99s the stats for race car drivers =
getting hurt or killed? &nbsp; What=E2=80=99s the stats of sports fans bein=
g hit by lightening? &nbsp;What=E2=80=99s the stats on dying from pneumonia=
? &nbsp;Car accidents? &nbsp;Going to an ATM late at night?</p>
<p class=3D"yiv4035461173p1">Yet we all get on with our lives.</p>
<p class=3D"yiv4035461173p1">=E2=80=94Justin</p>
<p class=3D"yiv4035461173p1"><br clear=3D"none">
</p>
<p class=3D"yiv4035461173p1"><br clear=3D"none">
</p>
</div>
<div dir=3D"ltr"><br clear=3D"none">
</div>
<div dir=3D"ltr"><br clear=3D"none">
</div>
<div dir=3D"ltr"><br clear=3D"none">
</div>
<div dir=3D"ltr"><br clear=3D"none">
</div>
<div dir=3D"ltr"><br clear=3D"none">
</div>
<div dir=3D"ltr"><br clear=3D"none">
On May 22, 2020, at 10:26 AM, Kenneth Knight via Fot &lt;<a rel=3D"nofollow=
" shape=3D"rect" ymailto=3D"mailto:fot@autox.team.net"; target=3D"_blank" hr=
ef=3D"mailto:fot@autox.team.net";>fot@autox.team.net</a>&gt; wrote:<br clear=
=3D"none">
<br clear=3D"none">
</div>
<blockquote type=3D"cite">
<div dir=3D"ltr">
</div></blockquote></div></div></blockquote></div><style>#yiv4035461173 #yi=
v4035461173 --
=20
 _filtered {}
#yiv4035461173 =20
#yiv4035461173 p.yiv4035461173MsoNormal, #yiv4035461173 li.yiv4035461173Mso=
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#yiv4035461173 a:link, #yiv4035461173 span.yiv4035461173MsoHyperlink
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#yiv4035461173 div.yiv4035461173WordSection1
=09{}
#yiv4035461173 </style><div><div class=3D"yiv4035461173WordSection1">
<p class=3D"yiv4035461173MsoNormal">The CDC just announced today that 35% o=
f Covid cases are asymptomatic.&nbsp; It appears you can spread Covid 19 an=
d not know you are sick.&nbsp; What if you are one of those folks that then=
 go home an give it to your family?</p>=20
<p class=3D"yiv4035461173MsoNormal"> &nbsp;</p>=20
<p class=3D"yiv4035461173MsoNormal">As of today there 1.61 million cases in=
 the US with deaths at 95,213 or a death rate 5.9%.&nbsp; Over this weekend=
 we will pass 100,000 dead.</p>=20
<p class=3D"yiv4035461173MsoNormal"> &nbsp;</p>=20
<p class=3D"yiv4035461173MsoNormal">Covid is killing people in all age grou=
ps, no one should consider themselves =E2=80=98low risk=E2=80=99.&nbsp; Thi=
s virus is like playing Russian Roulette with an automatic.</p>=20
<p class=3D"yiv4035461173MsoNormal"> &nbsp;</p>=20
<p class=3D"yiv4035461173MsoNormal">It is clear that the US national strate=
gy is to open up and either get a vaccine in 18-24 months or achieve =E2=80=
=9CHerd Immunity=E2=80=9D which requires some 60-70% of the population to h=
ave lived through being sick in order to develop antibodies against
 the virus.</p>=20
<p class=3D"yiv4035461173MsoNormal"> &nbsp;</p>=20
<p class=3D"yiv4035461173MsoNormal">The numbers needed to get to Herd Immun=
ity roughly require 200,000,000 Americans to have had the virus.</p>=20
<p class=3D"yiv4035461173MsoNormal"> &nbsp;</p>=20
<p class=3D"yiv4035461173MsoNormal">If people die at the current rate of 5.=
9% then some =C2=B111,000,000 people would perish in getting to Herd Immuni=
ty.&nbsp; Even if better treatments and the demise of very high risk people=
 cut the death rate to just 1%, we would see some 2,000,000
 people die of Covid.</p>=20
<p class=3D"yiv4035461173MsoNormal"> &nbsp;</p>=20
<p class=3D"yiv4035461173MsoNormal">Someone once said that if wishing were =
so, pigs could fly.&nbsp; You can cross your fingers this going to get bett=
er in June in the Midwest but all the indications are quite the opposite.&n=
bsp; We opened the country in mid May to varying degrees
 (not right or wrong, just fact) and infection rate numbers and death rates=
 are likely to significantly rise in June.&nbsp; It takes a couple of weeks=
 before people start showing up sick at their locale hospitals.</p>=20
<p class=3D"yiv4035461173MsoNormal"> &nbsp;</p>=20
<p class=3D"yiv4035461173MsoNormal">We are all big boys and girls and we ge=
t to make our own decisions.&nbsp; I think this decision should be made on =
sound medical science and fact, not what we would like to have happen. &nbs=
p;&nbsp;I have a couple of good doctor friends, until they are
 willing to go back racing after what they are seeing in their hospitals, I=
 will not return to the track as much as I want to.&nbsp; I wish all the ve=
ry best of luck.</p>=20
<p class=3D"yiv4035461173MsoNormal"> &nbsp;</p>=20
<p class=3D"yiv4035461173MsoNormal">Ken</p>=20
</div>


<blockquote type=3D"cite">
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