The only automotive content here is the source of the quiz.
Tic and Tac, the NPR Automobile Geniuses, came up with a question:
"You are a contestant on a TV quiz show, and allowed to pick one of
three doors for a prize. Two of the doors have contents of almost no
value, while the third contains a SUPER prize. (The last Harrington
Tiger II ever made?).
The chances of guessing the correct door are, obviously, one in three.
Now, the contestant picks "door number 2". He is told that "door number
1 contains nothing of value.
The question is: With this knowledge, could he improve his chances of
winning the prize by making another selection?
I thought that the obvious answer is, while his odds of getting the
prize have increased to 1 in two, making a change will not "improve" his
probability.
I am told that the Brothers have extended the answer another week ,
because of the complexity of the answer!
I must have missed something here. Any brilliant ideas as to the
"correct" answer. Will the contestant improve his odds by making another
selection?
Steve
--
Steve Laifman < One first kiss, >
B9472289 < one first love, and >
< one first win, is all >
< you get in this life. >
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