[Fot] To Consider Before you Race

[Kenneth Knight]

The CDC just announced today that 35% of Covid cases are asymptomatic.  It
appears you can spread Covid 19 and not know you are sick.  What if you are
one of those folks that then go home an give it to your family?

 

As of today there 1.61 million cases in the US with deaths at 95,213 or a
death rate 5.9%.  Over this weekend we will pass 100,000 dead.

 

Covid is killing people in all age groups, no one should consider themselves
‘low risk’.  This virus is like playing Russian Roulette with an automatic.

 

It is clear that the US national strategy is to open up and either get a
vaccine in 18-24 months or achieve “Herd Immunity” which requires some
60-70% of the population to have lived through being sick in order to
develop antibodies against the virus.

 

The numbers needed to get to Herd Immunity roughly require 200,000,000
Americans to have had the virus.

 

If people die at the current rate of 5.9% then some ±11,000,000 people would
perish in getting to Herd Immunity.  Even if better treatments and the
demise of very high risk people cut the death rate to just 1%, we would see
some 2,000,000 people die of Covid.

 

Someone once said that if wishing were so, pigs could fly.  You can cross
your fingers this going to get better in June in the Midwest but all the
indications are quite the opposite.  We opened the country in mid May to
varying degrees (not right or wrong, just fact) and infection rate numbers
and death rates are likely to significantly rise in June.  It takes a couple
of weeks before people start showing up sick at their locale hospitals.

 

We are all big boys and girls and we get to make our own decisions.  I think
this decision should be made on sound medical science and fact, not what we
would like to have happen.   I have a couple of good doctor friends, until
they are willing to go back racing after what they are seeing in their
hospitals, I will not return to the track as much as I want to.  I wish all
the very best of luck.

 

Ken

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