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Re: Weather Dude speaks

To: Ajstratton@aol.com, autox@autox.team.net
Subject: Re: Weather Dude speaks
From: Brian M Kennedy <kennedy@i2.com>
Date: Sun, 26 Sep 1999 22:49:20 -0500
At 04:52 PM 9/26/99 , Ajstratton@aol.com wrote:
>There are basically no locations East of the High Plains that could offer a 
>significantly better likelihood of warm, dry (Read: Ideal) weather.  
>Statistically your best chances of staying dry are in the SW deserts and the 
>inter-mountain West. But some of those Basin areas can get pretty chilly in 
>the AM.
>   By mid-Sept there is always a chance of an early season front pushing into 
>the West coast or the possibility of tropical moisture from the Pacific into 
>the SoCal area.  But these areas are no where near "centrally located".  
>Texas, at least anyplace in Texas remotely central, are always under threat 
>of tropical storms or, at least the residual moisture, and will be hot and 
>humid. 

Hot and humid?  Definitely.  Tropical storm threats?  Houston maybe.
Dallas, not at all.
 
>  What I guess I'm trying to say is;  there really is no place that offers 
>any better odds of a successful event this time of year.

That may be overstated.  Here's a list of somewhat mid-country places and
times that are significantly less likely to be impacted rain (1/8 chance to 
1/2 chance).  Now I have no idea if any of them have a site that could 
support 1000 autox'ers, BUT if lack of rain should be a top criteria, 
someone should look.  Topeka rains 1 day out of every 4, and rains almost
an inch per week.  Odds are good that most years will be impacted by rain.
Pueblo gets a light (.2") afternoon shower once a week.  Odds are good
there will be no real impact most years.  (Of course, it has the 4600'
altitude impact every year -- whatever impact that is.)

                     Average      Record     Avg   Days
When  in           High   Low   High   Low   Rain  Rain  Alt.
====  ===========  ====  ====   ====  ====   ====  ====  ====
June  Grand Jctn   88°F  57°F  105°F  34°F  0.50"    4   4600
June  Albuquerque  90°F  58°F  105°F  40°F  0.59"    4   4950
June  El Paso      97°F  64°F  111°F  46°F  0.67"    3   3750
Sept  Phoenix      98°F  73°F  118°F  47°F  0.86"    3   1100
Sept  Pueblo       81°F  50°F  100°F  27°F  0.90"    5   4650
Sept  Denver       77°F  48°F   97°F  17°F  1.24"    6   5250
Sept  Cheyenne     71°F  44°F   93°F   8°F  1.27"    7   6050
Sept  Co. Springs  74°F  47°F   94°F  22°F  1.33"    7   5850
Sept  Tucson       93°F  68°F  107°F  44°F  1.67"    5   2400
Sept  El Paso      87°F  62°F  104°F  41°F  1.70"    5   3750
July  Wichita Flls 97°F  73°F  114°F  54°F  1.72"    5    950
Sept  Amarillo     82°F  56°F  102°F  30°F  1.99"    6   3650
Aug   Austin       96°F  74°F  106°F  61°F  2.05"    5    550
Aug   Dallas       96°F  74°F  108°F  56°F  2.21"    5    500
Sept  Dallas       88°F  67°F  106°F  43°F  3.39"    7    500
Sept  Topeka       80°F  56°F  109°F  29°F  3.81"    8    950


>     Oh, BTW, I can get more wx stats than anyone wants to see...

How about the above stats for summer months for Santa Fe.  Seems
like a good candidate, but for some odd reason Yahoo doesn't have
its numbers.

Well, that's probably mostly just trivia, but perhaps it'll
lead to some exceptional location,  ;^)

Brian


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